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Cook Partisan Voting Index
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The Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI), sometimes referred to as simply the Partisan Voting Index (PVI), is an estimate of how strongly an American congressional district leans toward one political party compared to the nation as a whole. It was originally developed in 1997 by Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report, a nonpartisan political newsletter, working with Polidata, a political statistics analysis firm.
The index for each congressional district is derived by averaging the presidential election results in that district from the prior two elections, then comparing them to how the nation voted as a whole. The index indicates the more successful political party and how many percentage points higher than the national average for that party. It is published as a letter + number combination. In the following list the numbers range from D+43 (for New York's 15th and 16th districts) to R+26 (for Utah's 1st district). The statewide numbers range from R+22 for Utah to D+15 for Massachusetts, New York and Rhode Island (and D+39 for the District of Columbia).
Examples
A CPVI score of R+2 shows the Republicans received an average of 2 percentage points more votes than the national average. Likewise, a CPVI score of D+3 shows the Democrats received an average of 3 percentage points more votes than the national average.
List of PVIs by congressional district[1]
Alabama
1st--R+12
2nd--R+13
3rd--R+4
4th--R+16
5th--R+6
6th--R+25
7th--D+17
Alabama overall--R+8
Alaska
At Large--R+14
Arizona
1st--R+2
2nd--R+9
3rd--R+6
4th--D+14
5th--R+4
6th--R+12
7th--D+10
8th--R+1
Arizona overall--R+1
Arkansas
1st--D+1
2nd--R+0
3rd--R+11
4th--D+0
Arkansas overall--R+3
California
1st--D+10
2nd--R+13
3rd--R+7
4th--R+11
5th--D+14
6th--D+21
7th--D+19
8th--D+36
9th--D+38
10th--D+9
11th--R+3
12th--D+22
13th--D+22
14th--D+18
15th--D+14
16th--D+16
17th--D+17
18th--D+3
19th--R+10
10th--D+5
21st--R+13
22nd--R+16
23rd--D+9
24th--R+5
25th--R+7
26th--R+4
27th--D+13
28th--D+25
29th--D+12
30th--D+20
31st--D+30
32nd--D+17
33rd--D+36
34th--D+23
35th--D+33
36th--D+11
37th--D+27
38th--D+20
39th--D+13
40th--R+8
41st--R+9
42nd--R+10
43rd--D+13
44th--R+6
45th--R+3
46th--R+6
47th--D+5
48th--R+8
49th--R+10
50th--R+5
51st--D+7
52nd--R+9
53rd--D+12
California overall--D+6
Colorado
1st--D+18
2nd--D+8
3rd--R+6
4th--R+9
5th--R+16
6th--R+10
7th--D+2
Colorado overall--R+1
Connecticut
1st--D+14
2nd--D+8
3rd--D+12
4th--D+5
5th--D+4
Connecticut overall--D+9
Delaware
At Large--D+7
District of Columbia
At Large--D+39
Florida
1st--R+19
2nd--R+2
3rd--D+16
4th--R+16
5th--R+5
6th--R+8
7th--R+3
8th--R+3
9th--R+4
10th--D+1
11th--D+11
12th--R+5
13th--R+4
14th--R+10
15th--R+4
16th--R+2
17th--D+35
18th--R+4
19th--D+21
20th--D+18
21st--R+6
22nd--D+4
23rd--D+29
24th--R+3
25th--R+4
Florida overall--D+1
Georgia
1st--R+14
2nd--D+2
3rd--R+19
4th--D+22
5th--D+25
6th--R+19
7th--R+19
8th--R+8
9th--R+24
10th--R+14
11th--R+16
12th--D+2
13th--D+10
Georgia overall--R+6
Hawaii
1st--D+7
2nd--D+10
Hawaii overall--D+9
Idaho
1st--R+19
2nd--R+19
Idaho overall--R+19
Illinois
1st--D+35
2nd--D+35
3rd--D+10
4th--D+31
5th--D+18
6th--R+3
7th--D+35
8th--R+5
9th--D+20
10th--D+4
11th--R+1
12th--D+5
13th--R+5
14th--R+5
15th--R+6
16th--R+4
17th--D+5
18th--R+5
19th--R+8
Illinois overall--D+9
Indiana
1st--D+8
2nd--R+4
3rd--R+16
4th--R+17
5th--R+20
6th--R+11
7th--D+9
8th--R+9
9th--R+7
Indiana overall--R+7
Iowa
1st--D+5
2nd--D+7
3rd--D+1
4th--D+0
5th--R+8
Iowa overall--D+1
Kansas
1st--R+20
2nd--R+7
3rd--R+4
4th--R+12
Kansas overall--R+11
Kentucky
1st--R+10
2nd--R+13
3rd--D+2
4th--R+12
5th--R+8
6th--R+7
Kentucky overall--R+8
Louisiana
1st--R+18
2nd--D+28
3rd--R+5
4th--R+7
5th--R+10
6th--R+7
7th--R+7
Louisiana overall--R+4
Maine
1st--D+6
2nd--D+4
Maine overall--D+5
Maryland
1st--R+10
2nd--D+8
3rd--D+7
4th--D+30
5th--D+9
6th--R+13
7th--D+25
8th--D+20
Maryland overall--D+10
Massachusetts
1st--D+15
2nd--D+11
3rd--D+11
4th--D+17
5th--D+9
6th--D+10
7th--D+18
8th--D+31
9th--D+15
10th--D+8
Massachusetts overall--D+15
Michigan
1st--R+2
2nd--R+9
3rd--R+9
4th--R+3
5th--D+12
6th--R+2
7th--R+2
8th--R+2
9th--R+0
10th--R+0
11th--R+1
12th--D+13
13th--D+32
14th--D+33
15th--D+13
Michigan overall--D+4
Minnesota
1st--R+1
2nd--R+3
3rd--R+1
4th--D+13
5th--D+21
6th--R+5
7th--R+6
8th--D+4
Minnesota overall--D+3
Mississippi
1st--R+10
2nd--D+10
3rd--R+13
4th--R+16
Mississippi overall--R+7
Missouri
1st--D+26
2nd--R+9
3rd--D+8
4th--R+11
5th--D+12
6th--R+5
7th--R+14
8th--R+11
9th--R+7
Missouri overall--R+1
Montana
At Large--R+11
Nebraska
1st--R+11
2nd--R+9
3rd--R+24
Nebraska overall--R+15
Nevada
1st--D+9
2nd--R+8
3rd--D+1
Nevada overall--D+1
New Hampshire
1st--R+0
2nd--D+3
New Hampshire overall--D+2
New Jersey
1st--D+14
2nd--D+4
3rd--D+3
4th--R+1
5th--R+4
6th--D+12
7th--R+1
8th--D+12
9th--D+13
10th--D+34
11th--R+6
12th--D+8
13th--D+23
New Jersey overall--D+9
New Mexico
1st--D+2
2nd--R+6
3rd--D+6
New Mexico overall--D+1
New York
Some New York districts directly affected by 9-11 were more likely to vote for Bush in 2004 than in 2000. Most of the city districts in Staten Island, the outer boroughs, and Long Island, specifically NY-03 and NY-13, showed marked increases for the incumbent President in the 2004 election; the 2008 election should show whether it was a temporary or permanent shift to the Republicans. Similar results were shown in parts of New Jersey and Connecticut.
1st--D+3
2nd--D+7
3rd--D+2
4th--D+9
5th--D+18
6th--D+38
7th--D+28
8th--D+28
9th--D+14
10th--D+41
11th--D+40
12th--D+34
13th--D+1
14th--D+26
15th--D+43
16th--D+43
17th--D+21
18th--D+10
19th--R+1
20th--R+3
21st--D+9
22nd--D+6
23rd--R+0
24th--R+1
25th--D+3
26th--R+3
27th--D+7
28th--D+15
29th--R+5
New York overall--D+15
North Carolina
1st--D+9
2nd--R+3
3rd--R+15
4th--D+6
5th--R+15
6th--R+17
7th--R+3
8th--R+3
9th--R+12
10th--R+15
11th--R+7
12th--D+11
13th--D+2
North Carolina overall--R+5
North Dakota
At Large--R+13
Ohio
1st--R+1
2nd--R+13
3rd--R+3
4th--R+14
5th--R+10
6th--D+0
7th--R+6
8th--R+12
9th--D+9
10th--D+6
11th--D+33
12th--R+1
13th--D+6
14th--R+2
15th--R+1
16th--R+4
17th--D+14
18th--R+6
Ohio overall--R+0
Oklahoma
1st--R+13
2nd--R+5
3rd--R+18
4th--R+13
5th--R+12
Oklahoma overall--R+12
Oregon
1st--D+6
2nd--R+11
3rd--D+18
4th--D+0
5th--D+1
Oregon overall--D+3
Pennsylvania
1st--D+36
2nd--D+39
3rd--R+2
4th--R+3
5th--R+10
6th--D+2
7th--D+4
8th--D+3
9th--R+15
10th--R+8
11th--D+5
12th--D+5
13th--D+8
14th--D+22
15th--D+2
16th--R+11
17th--R+7
18th--R+2
19th--R+12
Pennsylvania overall--D+3
Rhode Island
1st--D+16
2nd--D+13
Rhode Island overall--D+15
South Carolina
1st--R+10
2nd--R+9
3rd--R+14
4th--R+15
5th--R+6
6th--D+11
South Carolina overall--R+7
South Dakota
At Large--R+10
Tennessee
1st--R+14
2nd--R+11
3rd--R+8
4th--R+3
5th--D+6
6th--R+4
7th--R+12
8th--D+0
9th--D+18
Tennessee overall--R+3
Texas
1st--R+17
2nd--R+12
3rd--R+17
4th--R+17
5th--R+16
6th--R+15
7th--R+16
8th--R+20
9th--D+21
10th--R+13
11th--R+25
12th--R+14
13th--R+18
14th--R+14
15th--D+3
16th--D+9
17th--R+18
18th--D+23
19th--R+25
20th--D+8
21st--R+13
22nd--R+15
23rd--R+4
24th--R+15
25th--D+1
26th--R+12
27th--R+1
28th--R+1
29th--D+8
30th--D+26
31st--R+15
32nd--R+11
Texas overall--R+8
Utah
1st--R+26
2nd--R+17
3rd--R+22
Utah overall--R+22
Vermont
At Large--D+8
Virginia
1st--R+9
2nd--R+6
3rd--D+18
4th--R+5
5th--R+6
6th--R+11
7th--R+11
8th--D+14
9th--R+7
10th--R+5
11th--R+1
Virginia overall--R+3
Washington
1st--D+7
2nd--D+3
3rd--D+0
4th--R+13
5th--R+7
6th--D+6
7th--D+30
8th--D+2
9th--D+6
Washington overall--D+4
West Virginia
1st--R+6
2nd--R+5
3rd--D+0
West Virginia overall--R+4
Wisconsin
1st--R+2
2nd--D+13
3rd--D+3
4th--D+20
5th--R+12
6th--R+5
7th--D+2
8th--D+0
Wisconsin overall--D+2
Wyoming
At large--R+19
References
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